New prognostic factors and calculators for outcome prediction in patients with recurrent glioblastoma: a pooled analysis of EORTC Brain Tumour Group phase I and II clinical trials.
Abstract
BACKGROUND
Prognostic models have been developed to predict survival of patients with newly diagnosed glioblastoma (GBM). To improve
predictions, models should be updated with information at the recurrence. We performed a pooled analysis of European Organization
for Research and Treatment of Cancer (EORTC) trials on recurrent glioblastoma to validate existing clinical prognostic factors,
identify new markers, and derive new predictions for overall survival (OS) and progression free survival (PFS).
METHODS
Data from 300 patients with recurrent GBM recruited in eight phase I or II trials conducted by the EORTC Brain Tumour Group
were used to evaluate patient's age, sex, World Health Organisation (WHO) performance status (PS), presence of neurological
deficits, disease history, use of steroids or anti-epileptics and disease characteristics to predict PFS and OS. Prognostic
calculators were developed in patients initially treated by chemoradiation with temozolomide.
RESULTS
Poor PS and more than one target lesion had a significant negative prognostic impact for both PFS and OS. Patients with large
tumours measured by the maximum diameter of the largest lesion (⩾42mm) and treated with steroids at baseline had shorter OS.
Tumours with predominant frontal location had better survival. Age and sex did not show independent prognostic values for
PFS or OS.
CONCLUSIONS
This analysis confirms performance status but not age as a major prognostic factor for PFS and OS in recurrent GBM. Patients
with multiple and large lesions have an increased risk of death. With these data prognostic calculators with confidence intervals
for both medians and fixed time probabilities of survival were derived.
Links
Authors
Gorlia T, Stupp R, Brandes AA, Rampling RR, Fumoleau P, Dittrich C, Campone MM, Twelves CC, Raymond E, Hegi ME, Lacombe D, van den Bent MJ
Institution
EORTC Headquarters, Brussels, Belgium. thierry.gorlia@eortc.be
Source
European journal of cancer (Oxford, England : 1990) 48:8 2012 May pg 1176-84MeSH
AdolescentAdult
Aged
Brain Neoplasms
Clinical Trials, Phase I as Topic
Clinical Trials, Phase II as Topic
Disease-Free Survival
Female
Glioblastoma
Humans
Male
Middle Aged
Neoplasm Recurrence, Local
Probability
Prognosis
Pub Type(s)
Journal ArticleResearch Support, N.I.H., Extramural
Research Support, Non-U.S. Gov't
Language
eng
PubMed ID
22464345
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