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Predictive models of forest dynamics. Science (New York, N.Y.) [Science] Journal article

 
Purves D, Pacala S 
Predictive models of forest dynamics. [Journal Article]
Science 2008 Jun 13; 320(5882):1452-3.


Dynamic global vegetation models (DGVMs) have shown that forest dynamics could dramatically alter the response of the global climate system to increased atmospheric carbon dioxide over the next century. But there is little agreement between different DGVMs, making forest dynamics one of the greatest sources of uncertainty in predicting future climate. DGVM predictions could be strengthened by integrating the ecological realities of biodiversity and height-structured competition for light, facilitated by recent advances in the mathematics of forest modeling, ecological understanding of diverse forest communities, and the availability of forest inventory data.



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