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Risk assessment of yellow fever urbanization in Rio de Janeiro, Brazil.
Trans R Soc Trop Med Hyg. 2004 Dec; 98(12):702-10.TR

Abstract

Yellow fever (YF), an arthropod-borne viral disease, occurs in regions of tropical America and Africa. Sylvatic YF is endemic in the north and west of Brazil. Urban YF, on the other hand, has not been reported in the country since 1942. However, the widespread presence of the YF urban vector in Brazil has lead to concern about the potential re-emergence of YF in urban centres. Here, we assess the risk of YF emergence in the city of Rio de Janeiro, Brazil, by estimating the probability of infected individuals arriving from YF-endemic areas, and the probability of infective individuals triggering an epidemic. We found that the risk of urban YF emergence may reach values as high as 29% during the epizootic periods but the precision of the estimate is low.

Authors+Show Affiliations

Programa de Computação Científica, Fundação Oswaldo Cruz, Avenida Brasil, 4365, Antiga Residencia Oficial, Rio de Janeiro, RJ 21045-900, Brazil. codeco@procc.fiocruz.brNo affiliation info availableNo affiliation info available

Pub Type(s)

Journal Article
Research Support, Non-U.S. Gov't

Language

eng

PubMed ID

15485700

Citation

Codeço, C T., et al. "Risk Assessment of Yellow Fever Urbanization in Rio De Janeiro, Brazil." Transactions of the Royal Society of Tropical Medicine and Hygiene, vol. 98, no. 12, 2004, pp. 702-10.
Codeço CT, Luz PM, Struchiner CJ. Risk assessment of yellow fever urbanization in Rio de Janeiro, Brazil. Trans R Soc Trop Med Hyg. 2004;98(12):702-10.
Codeço, C. T., Luz, P. M., & Struchiner, C. J. (2004). Risk assessment of yellow fever urbanization in Rio de Janeiro, Brazil. Transactions of the Royal Society of Tropical Medicine and Hygiene, 98(12), 702-10.
Codeço CT, Luz PM, Struchiner CJ. Risk Assessment of Yellow Fever Urbanization in Rio De Janeiro, Brazil. Trans R Soc Trop Med Hyg. 2004;98(12):702-10. PubMed PMID: 15485700.
* Article titles in AMA citation format should be in sentence-case
TY - JOUR T1 - Risk assessment of yellow fever urbanization in Rio de Janeiro, Brazil. AU - Codeço,C T, AU - Luz,P M, AU - Struchiner,C J, PY - 2003/04/23/received PY - 2003/12/11/revised PY - 2003/12/16/accepted PY - 2004/10/16/pubmed PY - 2005/4/29/medline PY - 2004/10/16/entrez SP - 702 EP - 10 JF - Transactions of the Royal Society of Tropical Medicine and Hygiene JO - Trans R Soc Trop Med Hyg VL - 98 IS - 12 N2 - Yellow fever (YF), an arthropod-borne viral disease, occurs in regions of tropical America and Africa. Sylvatic YF is endemic in the north and west of Brazil. Urban YF, on the other hand, has not been reported in the country since 1942. However, the widespread presence of the YF urban vector in Brazil has lead to concern about the potential re-emergence of YF in urban centres. Here, we assess the risk of YF emergence in the city of Rio de Janeiro, Brazil, by estimating the probability of infected individuals arriving from YF-endemic areas, and the probability of infective individuals triggering an epidemic. We found that the risk of urban YF emergence may reach values as high as 29% during the epizootic periods but the precision of the estimate is low. SN - 0035-9203 UR - https://www.unboundmedicine.com/medline/citation/15485700/Risk_assessment_of_yellow_fever_urbanization_in_Rio_de_Janeiro_Brazil_ L2 - https://linkinghub.elsevier.com/retrieve/pii/S0035-9203(04)00172-5 DB - PRIME DP - Unbound Medicine ER -