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Temporal patterns and a disease forecasting model of dengue hemorrhagic fever in Jakarta based on 10 years of surveillance data.
Southeast Asian J Trop Med Public Health. 2013 Mar; 44(2):206-17.SA

Abstract

This study aimed to describe the temporal patterns of dengue transmission in Jakarta from 2001 to 2010, using data from the national surveillance system. The Box-Jenkins forecasting technique was used to develop a seasonal autoregressive integrated moving average (SARIMA) model for the study period and subsequently applied to forecast DHF incidence in 2011 in Jakarta Utara, Jakarta Pusat, Jakarta Barat, and the municipalities of Jakarta Province. Dengue incidence in 2011, based on the forecasting model was predicted to increase from the previous year.

Authors+Show Affiliations

irectorate General of Health Care, Ministry of Health, Jakarta, Indonesia.No affiliation info availableNo affiliation info availableNo affiliation info availableNo affiliation info availableNo affiliation info availableNo affiliation info available

Pub Type(s)

Journal Article
Research Support, Non-U.S. Gov't

Language

eng

PubMed ID

23691630

Citation

Sitepu, Monika S., et al. "Temporal Patterns and a Disease Forecasting Model of Dengue Hemorrhagic Fever in Jakarta Based On 10 Years of Surveillance Data." The Southeast Asian Journal of Tropical Medicine and Public Health, vol. 44, no. 2, 2013, pp. 206-17.
Sitepu MS, Kaewkungwal J, Luplerdlop N, et al. Temporal patterns and a disease forecasting model of dengue hemorrhagic fever in Jakarta based on 10 years of surveillance data. Southeast Asian J Trop Med Public Health. 2013;44(2):206-17.
Sitepu, M. S., Kaewkungwal, J., Luplerdlop, N., Soonthornworasiri, N., Silawan, T., Poungsombat, S., & Lawpoolsri, S. (2013). Temporal patterns and a disease forecasting model of dengue hemorrhagic fever in Jakarta based on 10 years of surveillance data. The Southeast Asian Journal of Tropical Medicine and Public Health, 44(2), 206-17.
Sitepu MS, et al. Temporal Patterns and a Disease Forecasting Model of Dengue Hemorrhagic Fever in Jakarta Based On 10 Years of Surveillance Data. Southeast Asian J Trop Med Public Health. 2013;44(2):206-17. PubMed PMID: 23691630.
* Article titles in AMA citation format should be in sentence-case
TY - JOUR T1 - Temporal patterns and a disease forecasting model of dengue hemorrhagic fever in Jakarta based on 10 years of surveillance data. AU - Sitepu,Monika S, AU - Kaewkungwal,Jaranit, AU - Luplerdlop,Nathanej, AU - Soonthornworasiri,Ngamphol, AU - Silawan,Tassanee, AU - Poungsombat,Supawadee, AU - Lawpoolsri,Saranath, PY - 2013/5/23/entrez PY - 2013/5/23/pubmed PY - 2013/7/10/medline SP - 206 EP - 17 JF - The Southeast Asian journal of tropical medicine and public health JO - Southeast Asian J. Trop. Med. Public Health VL - 44 IS - 2 N2 - This study aimed to describe the temporal patterns of dengue transmission in Jakarta from 2001 to 2010, using data from the national surveillance system. The Box-Jenkins forecasting technique was used to develop a seasonal autoregressive integrated moving average (SARIMA) model for the study period and subsequently applied to forecast DHF incidence in 2011 in Jakarta Utara, Jakarta Pusat, Jakarta Barat, and the municipalities of Jakarta Province. Dengue incidence in 2011, based on the forecasting model was predicted to increase from the previous year. SN - 0125-1562 UR - https://www.unboundmedicine.com/medline/citation/23691630/Temporal_patterns_and_a_disease_forecasting_model_of_dengue_hemorrhagic_fever_in_Jakarta_based_on_10_years_of_surveillance_data_ L2 - http://www.diseaseinfosearch.org/result/2187 DB - PRIME DP - Unbound Medicine ER -