Tags

Type your tag names separated by a space and hit enter

Assessing the potential risk of Zika virus epidemics in temperate areas with established Aedes albopictus populations.
Euro Surveill 2016; 21(15)ES

Abstract

Based on 2015 abundance of Aedes albopictus in nine northern Italian municipalities with temperate continental/oceanic climate, we estimated the basic reproductive number R0 for Zika virus (ZIKV) to be systematically below the epidemic threshold in most scenarios. Results were sensitive to the value of the probability of mosquito infection after biting a viraemic host. Therefore, further studies are required to improve models and predictions, namely evaluating vector competence and potential non-vector transmissions.

Authors+Show Affiliations

Fondazione Bruno Kessler, Trento, Italy.No affiliation info availableNo affiliation info availableNo affiliation info availableNo affiliation info availableNo affiliation info availableNo affiliation info availableNo affiliation info available

Pub Type(s)

Journal Article

Language

eng

PubMed ID

27104366

Citation

Guzzetta, Giorgio, et al. "Assessing the Potential Risk of Zika Virus Epidemics in Temperate Areas With Established Aedes Albopictus Populations." Euro Surveillance : Bulletin Europeen Sur Les Maladies Transmissibles = European Communicable Disease Bulletin, vol. 21, no. 15, 2016.
Guzzetta G, Poletti P, Montarsi F, et al. Assessing the potential risk of Zika virus epidemics in temperate areas with established Aedes albopictus populations. Euro Surveill. 2016;21(15).
Guzzetta, G., Poletti, P., Montarsi, F., Baldacchino, F., Capelli, G., Rizzoli, A., ... Merler, S. (2016). Assessing the potential risk of Zika virus epidemics in temperate areas with established Aedes albopictus populations. Euro Surveillance : Bulletin Europeen Sur Les Maladies Transmissibles = European Communicable Disease Bulletin, 21(15), doi:10.2807/1560-7917.ES.2016.21.15.30199.
Guzzetta G, et al. Assessing the Potential Risk of Zika Virus Epidemics in Temperate Areas With Established Aedes Albopictus Populations. Euro Surveill. 2016 Apr 14;21(15) PubMed PMID: 27104366.
* Article titles in AMA citation format should be in sentence-case
TY - JOUR T1 - Assessing the potential risk of Zika virus epidemics in temperate areas with established Aedes albopictus populations. AU - Guzzetta,Giorgio, AU - Poletti,Piero, AU - Montarsi,Fabrizio, AU - Baldacchino,Frederic, AU - Capelli,Gioia, AU - Rizzoli,Annapaola, AU - Rosà,Roberto, AU - Merler,Stefano, PY - 2016/03/25/received PY - 2016/04/14/accepted PY - 2016/4/23/entrez PY - 2016/4/23/pubmed PY - 2017/7/14/medline KW - Zika virus KW - imported viral diseases KW - outbreaks KW - vector-borne infections JF - Euro surveillance : bulletin Europeen sur les maladies transmissibles = European communicable disease bulletin JO - Euro Surveill. VL - 21 IS - 15 N2 - Based on 2015 abundance of Aedes albopictus in nine northern Italian municipalities with temperate continental/oceanic climate, we estimated the basic reproductive number R0 for Zika virus (ZIKV) to be systematically below the epidemic threshold in most scenarios. Results were sensitive to the value of the probability of mosquito infection after biting a viraemic host. Therefore, further studies are required to improve models and predictions, namely evaluating vector competence and potential non-vector transmissions. SN - 1560-7917 UR - https://www.unboundmedicine.com/medline/citation/27104366/Assessing_the_potential_risk_of_Zika_virus_epidemics_in_temperate_areas_with_established_Aedes_albopictus_populations_ L2 - http://www.eurosurveillance.org/ViewArticle.aspx?ArticleId=21446 DB - PRIME DP - Unbound Medicine ER -