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Regulation and Trust: 3-Month Follow-up Study on COVID-19 Mortality in 25 European Countries.
JMIR Public Health Surveill. 2020 04 24; 6(2):e19218.JP

Abstract

BACKGROUND

The outbreak of the coronavirus disease (COVID-19) has dramatically changed societies in 2020. Since the end of February, Europe has been hit particularly hard by COVID-19, but there are major country differences in both the spread of the virus and measures taken to stop the virus. Social psychological factors such as institutional trust could be important in understanding the development of the epidemic.

OBJECTIVE

The aim of this study was to examine country variations of COVID-19 mortality in Europe by analyzing social risk factors explaining the spread of the disease, restrictions and control measures, and institutional trust.

METHODS

The present study was based on a background analysis of European Social Survey data on 25 European countries (N=47,802). Multilevel mixed effects linear regression models focused on 84 days of the COVID-19 epidemic (January 22 to April 14, 2020) and modelled the daily COVID-19 mortality. Analysis focused on the impact of social relations, restrictions, and institutional trust within each country.

RESULTS

The spread of the COVID-19 epidemic has been fast everywhere, but the findings revealed significant differences between countries in COVID-19 mortality. Perceived sociability predicted higher COVID-19 mortality. Major differences between the 25 countries were found in reaction times to the crisis. Late reaction to the crisis predicted later mortality figures. Institutional trust was associated with lower COVID-19 mortality.

CONCLUSIONS

The analyses demonstrated the importance of societal and social psychological factors in the spread of the COVID-19 epidemic. By considering multiple perspectives, this study showed that country differences in Europe are major, and this will have an impact on how countries will cope with the ongoing crisis in the following months. The results indicated the importance of timely restrictions and cooperation with people.

Authors+Show Affiliations

Tampere University, Tampere, Finland.University of Helsinki, Helsinki, Finland.Tampere University, Tampere, Finland.Tampere University, Tampere, Finland.Tampere University, Tampere, Finland.University of Turku, Turku, Finland.

Pub Type(s)

Journal Article

Language

eng

PubMed ID

32301734

Citation

Oksanen, Atte, et al. "Regulation and Trust: 3-Month Follow-up Study On COVID-19 Mortality in 25 European Countries." JMIR Public Health and Surveillance, vol. 6, no. 2, 2020, pp. e19218.
Oksanen A, Kaakinen M, Latikka R, et al. Regulation and Trust: 3-Month Follow-up Study on COVID-19 Mortality in 25 European Countries. JMIR Public Health Surveill. 2020;6(2):e19218.
Oksanen, A., Kaakinen, M., Latikka, R., Savolainen, I., Savela, N., & Koivula, A. (2020). Regulation and Trust: 3-Month Follow-up Study on COVID-19 Mortality in 25 European Countries. JMIR Public Health and Surveillance, 6(2), e19218. https://doi.org/10.2196/19218
Oksanen A, et al. Regulation and Trust: 3-Month Follow-up Study On COVID-19 Mortality in 25 European Countries. JMIR Public Health Surveill. 2020 04 24;6(2):e19218. PubMed PMID: 32301734.
* Article titles in AMA citation format should be in sentence-case
TY - JOUR T1 - Regulation and Trust: 3-Month Follow-up Study on COVID-19 Mortality in 25 European Countries. AU - Oksanen,Atte, AU - Kaakinen,Markus, AU - Latikka,Rita, AU - Savolainen,Iina, AU - Savela,Nina, AU - Koivula,Aki, Y1 - 2020/04/24/ PY - 2020/04/08/received PY - 2020/04/16/accepted PY - 2020/04/15/revised PY - 2020/4/18/pubmed PY - 2020/5/1/medline PY - 2020/4/18/entrez KW - Europe KW - infectious diseases KW - mortality KW - prevention KW - sociability KW - trust SP - e19218 EP - e19218 JF - JMIR public health and surveillance JO - JMIR Public Health Surveill VL - 6 IS - 2 N2 - BACKGROUND: The outbreak of the coronavirus disease (COVID-19) has dramatically changed societies in 2020. Since the end of February, Europe has been hit particularly hard by COVID-19, but there are major country differences in both the spread of the virus and measures taken to stop the virus. Social psychological factors such as institutional trust could be important in understanding the development of the epidemic. OBJECTIVE: The aim of this study was to examine country variations of COVID-19 mortality in Europe by analyzing social risk factors explaining the spread of the disease, restrictions and control measures, and institutional trust. METHODS: The present study was based on a background analysis of European Social Survey data on 25 European countries (N=47,802). Multilevel mixed effects linear regression models focused on 84 days of the COVID-19 epidemic (January 22 to April 14, 2020) and modelled the daily COVID-19 mortality. Analysis focused on the impact of social relations, restrictions, and institutional trust within each country. RESULTS: The spread of the COVID-19 epidemic has been fast everywhere, but the findings revealed significant differences between countries in COVID-19 mortality. Perceived sociability predicted higher COVID-19 mortality. Major differences between the 25 countries were found in reaction times to the crisis. Late reaction to the crisis predicted later mortality figures. Institutional trust was associated with lower COVID-19 mortality. CONCLUSIONS: The analyses demonstrated the importance of societal and social psychological factors in the spread of the COVID-19 epidemic. By considering multiple perspectives, this study showed that country differences in Europe are major, and this will have an impact on how countries will cope with the ongoing crisis in the following months. The results indicated the importance of timely restrictions and cooperation with people. SN - 2369-2960 UR - https://www.unboundmedicine.com/medline/citation/32301734/Regulation_and_Trust:_3_Month_Follow_up_Study_on_COVID_19_Mortality_in_25_European_Countries_ L2 - https://publichealth.jmir.org/2020/2/e19218/ DB - PRIME DP - Unbound Medicine ER -