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Optimal temperature zone for the dispersal of COVID-19.
Sci Total Environ. 2020 Sep 20; 736:139487.ST

Abstract

It is essential to know the environmental parameters within which the severe acute respiratory syndrome coronavirus 2 (SARS-CoV-2) can survive to understand its global dispersal pattern. We found that 60.0% of the confirmed cases of coronavirus disease 2019 (COVID-19) occurred in places where the air temperature ranged from 5 °C to 15 °C, with a peak in cases at 11.54 °C. Moreover, approximately 73.8% of the confirmed cases were concentrated in regions with absolute humidity of 3 g/m3 to 10 g/m3. SARS-CoV-2 appears to be spreading toward higher latitudes. Our findings suggest that there is an optimal climatic zone in which the concentration of SARS-CoV-2 markedly increases in the ambient environment (including the surfaces of objects). These results strongly imply that the COVID-19 pandemic may spread cyclically and outbreaks may recur in large cities in the mid-latitudes in autumn 2020.

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Authors+Show Affiliations

Collaborative Innovation Center for West Ecological Safety (CIWES), College of Atmospheric Sciences, Lanzhou University, Lanzhou 730000, China.

Collaborative Innovation Center for West Ecological Safety (CIWES), College of Atmospheric Sciences, Lanzhou University, Lanzhou 730000, China. Electronic address: hjp@lzu.edu.cn.

Collaborative Innovation Center for West Ecological Safety (CIWES), College of Atmospheric Sciences, Lanzhou University, Lanzhou 730000, China.

Collaborative Innovation Center for West Ecological Safety (CIWES), College of Atmospheric Sciences, Lanzhou University, Lanzhou 730000, China.

Collaborative Innovation Center for West Ecological Safety (CIWES), College of Atmospheric Sciences, Lanzhou University, Lanzhou 730000, China.

Collaborative Innovation Center for West Ecological Safety (CIWES), College of Atmospheric Sciences, Lanzhou University, Lanzhou 730000, China.

MeSH

BetacoronavirusCOVID-19CitiesClimateCoronavirus InfectionsHumansPandemicsPneumonia, ViralSARS-CoV-2Temperature

Pub Type(s)

Journal Article

Language

eng

PubMed ID

32479958

Citation

Huang, Zhongwei, et al. "Optimal Temperature Zone for the Dispersal of COVID-19." The Science of the Total Environment, vol. 736, 2020, p. 139487.

Huang Z, Huang J, Gu Q, et al. Optimal temperature zone for the dispersal of COVID-19. Sci Total Environ. 2020;736:139487.

Huang, Z., Huang, J., Gu, Q., Du, P., Liang, H., & Dong, Q. (2020). Optimal temperature zone for the dispersal of COVID-19. The Science of the Total Environment, 736, 139487. https://doi.org/10.1016/j.scitotenv.2020.139487

Huang Z, et al. Optimal Temperature Zone for the Dispersal of COVID-19. Sci Total Environ. 2020 Sep 20;736:139487. PubMed PMID: 32479958.

* Article titles in AMA citation format should be in sentence-case

TY - JOUR T1 - Optimal temperature zone for the dispersal of COVID-19. AU - Huang,Zhongwei, AU - Huang,Jianping, AU - Gu,Qianqing, AU - Du,Pengyue, AU - Liang,Hongbin, AU - Dong,Qing, Y1 - 2020/05/16/ PY - 2020/05/01/received PY - 2020/05/09/revised PY - 2020/05/15/accepted PY - 2020/6/2/pubmed PY - 2020/6/25/medline PY - 2020/6/2/entrez KW - COVID-19 KW - Dispersal KW - Pandemic KW - SARS-CoV-2 KW - Temperature SP - 139487 EP - 139487 JF - The Science of the total environment JO - Sci Total Environ VL - 736 N2 - It is essential to know the environmental parameters within which the severe acute respiratory syndrome coronavirus 2 (SARS-CoV-2) can survive to understand its global dispersal pattern. We found that 60.0% of the confirmed cases of coronavirus disease 2019 (COVID-19) occurred in places where the air temperature ranged from 5 °C to 15 °C, with a peak in cases at 11.54 °C. Moreover, approximately 73.8% of the confirmed cases were concentrated in regions with absolute humidity of 3 g/m3 to 10 g/m3. SARS-CoV-2 appears to be spreading toward higher latitudes. Our findings suggest that there is an optimal climatic zone in which the concentration of SARS-CoV-2 markedly increases in the ambient environment (including the surfaces of objects). These results strongly imply that the COVID-19 pandemic may spread cyclically and outbreaks may recur in large cities in the mid-latitudes in autumn 2020. SN - 1879-1026 UR - https://www.unboundmedicine.com/medline/citation/32479958/Optimal_temperature_zone_for_the_dispersal_of_COVID_19_ DB - PRIME DP - Unbound Medicine ER -