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Evaluation of prevention and control interventions and its impact on the epidemic of coronavirus disease 2019 in Chongqing and Guizhou Provinces.
Math Biosci Eng. 2020 03 16; 17(4):2781-2791.MB

Abstract

The outbreak of coronavirus disease 2019 (COVID-19) in Wuhan, which is caused by the severe acute respiratory syndrome coronavirus 2 (SARS-CoV-2), is still severe. In order to optimize the epidemic response strategy, it is urgent to evaluate the implemented prevention and control interventions (PCIs). Based on the reported data of Chongqing and Guizhou Provinces, the phased dynamic models of COVID-19 were constructed, the average intensity of the existing PCIs (from January 25 to March 2) was estimated in these two provinces. The results indicate that both provinces have carried out better control of the infected, but there are still differences in the intensity of control for people who need close observation. Especially in Chongqing, the estimated strength is significantly smaller than that in Guizhou. Furthermore, qualitative evaluations on the epidemic of COVID-19 under different PCIs scenarios suggest that containment strategy is still necessary to ensure the safety of resumption of work and school, and quarantining the city of Wuhan is an important and effective containment strategy to reduce the epidemic in other provinces.

Authors+Show Affiliations

School of Biomedical Engineering and Imaging Medicine, Army Medical University, Chongqing 400038, China.Department of Obstertrics and Gynaecology, Guizhou Provincial People's Hospital, Guiyang 550001, China.School of Mathematics and Statistics, Southwest University, Chongqing 400715, China.

Pub Type(s)

Evaluation Study
Journal Article
Research Support, Non-U.S. Gov't

Language

eng

PubMed ID

32987495

Citation

Dai, Chen Xi, et al. "Evaluation of Prevention and Control Interventions and Its Impact On the Epidemic of Coronavirus Disease 2019 in Chongqing and Guizhou Provinces." Mathematical Biosciences and Engineering : MBE, vol. 17, no. 4, 2020, pp. 2781-2791.
Dai CX, Yang J, Wang KF. Evaluation of prevention and control interventions and its impact on the epidemic of coronavirus disease 2019 in Chongqing and Guizhou Provinces. Math Biosci Eng. 2020;17(4):2781-2791.
Dai, C. X., Yang, J., & Wang, K. F. (2020). Evaluation of prevention and control interventions and its impact on the epidemic of coronavirus disease 2019 in Chongqing and Guizhou Provinces. Mathematical Biosciences and Engineering : MBE, 17(4), 2781-2791. https://doi.org/10.3934/mbe.2020152
Dai CX, Yang J, Wang KF. Evaluation of Prevention and Control Interventions and Its Impact On the Epidemic of Coronavirus Disease 2019 in Chongqing and Guizhou Provinces. Math Biosci Eng. 2020 03 16;17(4):2781-2791. PubMed PMID: 32987495.
* Article titles in AMA citation format should be in sentence-case
TY - JOUR T1 - Evaluation of prevention and control interventions and its impact on the epidemic of coronavirus disease 2019 in Chongqing and Guizhou Provinces. AU - Dai,Chen Xi, AU - Yang,Jing, AU - Wang,Kai Fa, PY - 2020/9/29/entrez PY - 2020/9/30/pubmed PY - 2020/10/10/medline KW - coronavirus disease 2019 KW - dynamic model KW - prevention and control interventions KW - severe acute respiratory syndrome coronavirus 2 SP - 2781 EP - 2791 JF - Mathematical biosciences and engineering : MBE JO - Math Biosci Eng VL - 17 IS - 4 N2 - The outbreak of coronavirus disease 2019 (COVID-19) in Wuhan, which is caused by the severe acute respiratory syndrome coronavirus 2 (SARS-CoV-2), is still severe. In order to optimize the epidemic response strategy, it is urgent to evaluate the implemented prevention and control interventions (PCIs). Based on the reported data of Chongqing and Guizhou Provinces, the phased dynamic models of COVID-19 were constructed, the average intensity of the existing PCIs (from January 25 to March 2) was estimated in these two provinces. The results indicate that both provinces have carried out better control of the infected, but there are still differences in the intensity of control for people who need close observation. Especially in Chongqing, the estimated strength is significantly smaller than that in Guizhou. Furthermore, qualitative evaluations on the epidemic of COVID-19 under different PCIs scenarios suggest that containment strategy is still necessary to ensure the safety of resumption of work and school, and quarantining the city of Wuhan is an important and effective containment strategy to reduce the epidemic in other provinces. SN - 1551-0018 UR - https://www.unboundmedicine.com/medline/citation/32987495/Evaluation_of_prevention_and_control_interventions_and_its_impact_on_the_epidemic_of_coronavirus_disease_2019_in_Chongqing_and_Guizhou_Provinces_ DB - PRIME DP - Unbound Medicine ER -