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Will achieving herd immunity be a road to success to end the COVID-19 pandemic?
J Infect. 2021 09; 83(3):381-412.JI

Abstract

As the COVID-19 pandemic continues, the availability of several different new vaccines, their varying supply levels, effectiveness, and immunity duration across different ethnic populations, together with natural infection rates, will have an impact on when each country can reach herd immunity (ranging from 15.3% to 77.1%). Here we estimate the population proportions still required to gain immunity (ranging from 0.01% to 48.8%) to reach an overall herd immunity level to stop the exponential virus spread in 32 selected countries.

Authors+Show Affiliations

JC School of Public Health and Primary Care, The Chinese University of Hong Kong, Hong Kong Special Administrative Region, China; Stanley Ho Centre for Emerging Infectious Diseases, The Chinese University of Hong Kong, Hong Kong Special Administrative Region, China; Shenzhen Research Institute of the Chinese University of Hong Kong, Shenzhen, China. Electronic address: kkokwok@cuhk.edu.hk.JC School of Public Health and Primary Care, The Chinese University of Hong Kong, Hong Kong Special Administrative Region, China.JC School of Public Health and Primary Care, The Chinese University of Hong Kong, Hong Kong Special Administrative Region, China.JC School of Public Health and Primary Care, The Chinese University of Hong Kong, Hong Kong Special Administrative Region, China.JC School of Public Health and Primary Care, The Chinese University of Hong Kong, Hong Kong Special Administrative Region, China.Respiratory Sciences, University of Leicester, Leicester, United Kingdom; Clinical Microbiology, Leicester Royal Infirmary, Leicester, UK. Electronic address: jwtang49@hotmail.com.

Pub Type(s)

Letter
Research Support, Non-U.S. Gov't

Language

eng

PubMed ID

34118274

Citation

Kwok, Kin On, et al. "Will Achieving Herd Immunity Be a Road to Success to End the COVID-19 Pandemic?" The Journal of Infection, vol. 83, no. 3, 2021, pp. 381-412.
Kwok KO, McNeil EB, Tsoi MTF, et al. Will achieving herd immunity be a road to success to end the COVID-19 pandemic? J Infect. 2021;83(3):381-412.
Kwok, K. O., McNeil, E. B., Tsoi, M. T. F., Wei, V. W. I., Wong, S. Y. S., & Tang, J. W. T. (2021). Will achieving herd immunity be a road to success to end the COVID-19 pandemic? The Journal of Infection, 83(3), 381-412. https://doi.org/10.1016/j.jinf.2021.06.007
Kwok KO, et al. Will Achieving Herd Immunity Be a Road to Success to End the COVID-19 Pandemic. J Infect. 2021;83(3):381-412. PubMed PMID: 34118274.
* Article titles in AMA citation format should be in sentence-case
TY - JOUR T1 - Will achieving herd immunity be a road to success to end the COVID-19 pandemic? AU - Kwok,Kin On, AU - McNeil,Edward B, AU - Tsoi,Margaret Ting Fong, AU - Wei,Vivian Wan In, AU - Wong,Samuel Yeung Shan, AU - Tang,Julian Wei Tze, Y1 - 2021/06/10/ PY - 2021/06/05/received PY - 2021/06/07/accepted PY - 2021/6/13/pubmed PY - 2021/9/7/medline PY - 2021/6/12/entrez KW - Basic reproductive number KW - COVID-19 KW - Herd immunity KW - Vaccination SP - 381 EP - 412 JF - The Journal of infection JO - J Infect VL - 83 IS - 3 N2 - As the COVID-19 pandemic continues, the availability of several different new vaccines, their varying supply levels, effectiveness, and immunity duration across different ethnic populations, together with natural infection rates, will have an impact on when each country can reach herd immunity (ranging from 15.3% to 77.1%). Here we estimate the population proportions still required to gain immunity (ranging from 0.01% to 48.8%) to reach an overall herd immunity level to stop the exponential virus spread in 32 selected countries. SN - 1532-2742 UR - https://www.unboundmedicine.com/medline/citation/34118274/Will_achieving_herd_immunity_be_a_road_to_success_to_end_the_COVID_19_pandemic L2 - https://linkinghub.elsevier.com/retrieve/pii/S0163-4453(21)00287-5 DB - PRIME DP - Unbound Medicine ER -